Friday, January 6th, 2012
Posted by Veterans Today
Behind the Deepening Crisis with Iran: the Real Story Versus the Cover Story
Around a third of all oil shipped in tankers passes through the strait, and if this supply were disrupted it would out immense pressure on the rest of the world’s supplies.
by Mark H Gaffney
Recently, President Obama imposed new sanctions on Iran which according to reports have been very effective, causing a sudden major devaluation of Iran’s currency. The Iranians correctly understand that they are under attack, and have threatened to respond by closing the strait of Hormuz, through which a large percentage of oil from the Mideast flows to the global economy. If the crisis deepens and Iran makes good on its threat to close Hormuz, there is little doubt that the US will intervene to reopen the strait. This will lead to a shooting war for which Iran will be blamed, even though the recent US sanctions were tantamount to overt aggression.
Ed Note: George Galloway vs. the warmonger parrot who is very similar to US Republican right wing zealots including Presidential contenders
Don’t like Galloways politics- but on Iran he’s A1!
I believe the US will exploit the situation to attack Iran’s nuclear facilities. But, even more importantly, the US will target Iran’s conventional missiles. Indeed, I believe this is the real reason for US sanctions in the first place, and for the buildup of tensions in recent days. Despite public perceptions, and all the rhetoric about nukes, the present crisis has nothing to do with Iran’s alleged nuclear weapons program. In my opinion, that is just a cover story.
The real issue is the fact that Iran has upgraded its medium range conventionally-armed missiles with GPS technology, making its missiles much more accurate. This means Iran can now target Israel’s own nuclear, bio and chemical weapons stockpiles, located inside Israel, as well as the Dimona nuclear reactor.
In short, Iran has achieved a conventional deterrent to Israel. Therefore, statements by Iranian officials that Iran has no nuclear weapons program are in my view probably correct. Presently, Iran does not need nukes to deter Israel. It can do so with its GPS-guided medium range missiles. The Israelis are no doubt gnashing their teeth over this, because they now find themselves threatened by their own WMD stockpiles, and by their own nuclear reactors, especially Dimona, all of which have become targets.
A few direct hits by Iran could cause a toxic plume, killing thousands of Israelis. A worst case might signal the end of the Jewish state.
It is important to realize that Iran would never launch a pre-emptive strike on Israel because the Iranians know that the US/Israeli response would be devastating. However, if Iran comes clickunder attack first, all bets are off. Iran will defend itself. A counter attack on Israel cannot be ruled out because Iranian leaders understand clearly (even if the American people do not) that the crisis has been manufactured, on Israel’s behalf.
From the Israeli standpoint, the present Iranian deterrent (though conventional) is simply unacceptable. Israel’s military strategists have always insisted on total freedom of movement. This is why Israel refused a US offer many years ago to sign a defense pact with the US. Such a treaty would have limited Israel’s freedom of movement, and this was unacceptable. Israel’s leaders preferred to remain independent. Israel has always insisted on the “freedom” to intimidate its neighbors, whenever and howsoever it chooses. Iran’s conventional missiles now curtail that “freedom.” Israeli officials probably worry, for example, that Iran’s conventional missiles would limit its freedom to attack Hezbollah in Lebanon, in a future conflict. Hezbollah is closely allied with Tehran.
I believe the present crisis has been manufactured to create the pretext for a US air campaign to take out Iran’s conventional missile sites. The US will also target Iran’s nuclear facilities, but the primary target will be Iran’s conventional missiles. The US will be doing Israel’s bidding. The Zionist tail will be wagging the servile US dog.
Obviously, you can’t generate public support for such a bombing campaign, on Israel’s behalf. Hence the cover story about nukes and the alleged Iranian threat to wipe Israel off the map, all of which is untrue but very effective propaganda nonetheless.
The problem for the US is that depriving Iran of its conventional deterrent will not be easy to accomplish. Indeed, it will be even more difficult than taking out all of Iran’s nuclear facilities. Iran’s conventional missiles are probably dispersed widely. If they come under attack, the purpose of the air campaign will be transparently obvious to the Iranian leadership. Faced with the prospect of losing their deterrent, the Mullahs may well decide to fire their conventional missiles. If they do and manage some direct hits on Israel’s nuclear-bio-and chemical weapons stockpiles, the ensuing disaster will prompt an Israeli response. Israel may even resort to the Samson Option, and attack Iran with nukes. Words cannot describe the horrific scale of such an outcome. Unfortunately, it is all too possible.
Early in the war, US naval forces in the Gulf will also come under attack. No mistake, Iran has enough anti-ship cruise missiles to pose a grave threat to the US naval presence in the Gulf. Thousands of US sailors are now in harm’s way, and at risk.
We must rally to prevent such a war. Peace activists must now marshal every asset for peace that we possess. The American people need to know the truth. This is a phony crisis. Yet the danger is very real. Now is the time to speak out with all of our strength. Tomorrow could come too late.
Mark H. Gaffney is an environmentalist, peace activist, researcher, and the author of The First Tree of the Day; Gnostic Secrets of the Naassenes and Dimona, the Third Temple? His articles and essays have appeared in numerous journals, magazines, and newspapers. He lives in Chiloquin, Oregon.
Ed Note: For more on the current US/Iran/Israel crisis, click here to listen to Omar Nashabi, Philip Giraldi and Mark Dankof offer their insights in a recently conducted Press TV interview :
‘US, Israeli covert ops targeting Iran’
Editing: Debbie Menon
NO WAR FOR ISRAEL
AND WHO CAN BLAME IRAN?
Mark as SpamReport as Abuse
Latney Davis · Top Commenter
I sincerely hope that the narrative that describes Iran’s “conventional capability” to “destroy Zionist Israel’s nuclear-bio-and chemical weapons stockpiles” in THEIR country is accurate. That is certainly a potent deterrent to Israel acting alone.
And therein lies the PROBLEM! Israel’s lapdog USA will once again be offered a bone (or boned) into eliminating Iran’s “deterrent”. Frankly, I don’t believe WE can stop this. The Zionist/Neocon agenda’s “will”…will be done.
It is too late in-the-game to raise enough vocal opposition in the “sleeping USA” to stop this. Tell me I’m wrong.
Reply · Like· 8 hours ago
Charlotte NC Bill
January 7, 2012 – 4:02 am
Unfortunately it will probably happen as described…At times like this one can really see how the USA is nothing but a tool for these Zionists..The Russians need to sell Iran the S-400 air defense batteries they need to deter Israeli aggression…Iran can keep selling crude to the nations not controlled by the Zio-Supremacists…Maybe it can be avoided or postponed long enough that an effective coalition against the Anglo-American-Zionist axis of Masonic NWO aggression can be organized to convince “our” side to rein-in the mad dog Zio-Supremacists…Or maybe, at best, the silver lining will be losing our expensive, useless Empire..
TALK OF WAR IS CHEAP WHEN YOUR THOUSANDS OF MILES AWAY!
ULTRA FAR RIGHT LIKUD HAS WEAPONS- AND THOSE ARE POINTING AT EUROPE!
IRAQ INVADED IRAN- AT THE BEHEST OF THE WEST- DICKHEAD!