Welcome to my website where I will try to give you the answer to the question “is there global warming?” As you are well aware there is a huge effort around the globe to counter the alleged impact of mankind on the world’s climate. If in fact mankind will cause the seas to rise appreciably by causing CO2 induced global warming then certainly let’s do something about it. But, what if global warming is not what they say it is? What if the world’s temperature is headed in the opposite direction? Global temperatures increased for twenty years from the late 1970s to the late 1990s but have actually been cooling the last eleven years. The global warming and subsequent cooling were even predictable due to hundreds of years of historical trends and observation of the impact of variations in solar activity on global temperature.
Did you know that the Roman Period and Medieval Period were both several degrees warmer than today’s temperature. The world then cooled at least four degrees from 1450 to 1850. This period was called the Little Ice Age (a period of glacial advance, the same glaciers that are in retreat today). These temperature variations were not caused by man. They were caused entirely by natural forces.
Quick facts about the US and global climate
*October 2008 to January 2009 temps were well below normal link According to the NCDC U.S. temperatures in October 2009 was on average the third coldest in 116 years, November was the 4th coldest, and February 2010 was the 29th coldest. U.S. temperatures December ’09 – February ’10 were well below normal link. UK experiences coldest May temps in 15 years link U.S. temps Nov ’09 to May ’10 remain mostly below normal link , October ’09 through March ’10 was the snowiest on record in the northern hemisphere link
*NASA GISS announced that 2008 global surface temperatures were cooler than 2007, the coolest since 2000 and below the average of the last 30 years.
*In February 2010 the Northern Hemisphere had the second largest area of snow coverage ever recorded link and North America had the most snow cover ever recorded. Snow coverage in the Northern hemisphere has been growing since 1998 link. Snow in areas where it usually does not snow can only be because temperatures are colder, and not from global warming link The additional snow was not because of higher levels of humidity, according to NCDC February ’10 was the 47th driest in 116 years.
Record Summer 2010 cold in Australia link
Cold weather kills 600 rare Penguins in South Africa link
In spite of all the hot weather of late, according to NOAA 62% of the continental U.S. had below normal temperatures January-July 2010 link
Early December snow (2010) impacts millions in Europe link Denmark experiences coldest November 2010 temps in 131 years link Sweden braces for coldest November 2010 temperatures in over 100 yearsl link UK midlands expect coldest November temps in 134 years link
The central England temperature record in early December 2010 was the second coolest since records began in 1649 link
The best and most accurate way to measure global temperatures are from satellites that measure atmospheric temperatures. See how atmospheric temperatures have changed since the start of measurement in 1979 link
Total global polar sea ice extent is largely unchanged over the past 30 years
*When adding the sea ice volumes at both poles there is about the same ice as 30 years ago link. Antarctica has 90% of the world’s ice and had the most sea ice ever recorded at the end of 2008, over one million square kilometers above the average maximum. The global sea ice extent today (combined sea ice at both Poles) is nearly the same as the average of the last 30 years according to NASA and NSIDC link link View today’s Antarctic sea ice extent compared to the 1979-2007 average (National Snow and Ice Data Center) link link While it is true Arctic sea ice volumes have been overall slightly less today than the average of the last 30 years the ice there has been growing the past several years and as of mid September 2009 there was 24% more ice than just two years earlier, which is over 1 million square kilometers of new ice since 2007. There is also substantially more multi year ice in the Arctic in 2009 than just one year earlier link Antarctic sea ice extent in September 2009 is also growing and is 1 million square kilometers more than the previous year. In 2009 the Antarctic had the most Summer ice ever recorded link. The 2010 Arctic sea ice melt has started later than at any time ever recorded. Arctic ice volumes in April 2010 are the largest in nine years and are now close to the average of the last 30. link. View today’s Arctic sea ice extent, AMSR-E link NSIDC link (Nansen) link DMI link
2010 Antarctic ice extent was the third largest ever recorded. Average snowfall in Antarctica was the most ever recorded link
The Arctic ice concentration (total density) in early July 2010 is the highest in satellite history link
Ocean temperatures are cooling
Global storms and their intensity are in decline
*Violent tornadoes are in decline in the US link. U.S. landfall hurricanes are less numerous and powerful than decades ago link. Global hurricane, typhoon, and cyclone activity are nearing 50 year lows according to Florida State University link link Deaths from severe weather events are in decline link
Global cyclone activity is at 33 year lows at the end of the 2010 hurricane season. Pacific storms lowest since recording began in 1945. link
There have been few hurricanes to reach US shores in the past three years which is highly unusual link
Polar Bear populations are of record size
Some say Polar Bears are threatened but there are more polar bears today than ever recorded, an increase of 300%+ since the 1950s. link link The scientific name for Polar bears is Ursus Maritimus, which means sea bear. Polar Bears are excellent swimmers and can swim 200 miles or more link. Polar bears have survived periods when the Arctic melted completely in the past (they moved to land).
Solar activity is lower. This has led to cooler temperatures in the past
So what has changed? CO2 concentrations continue to increase yet temperatures have been falling since 2002? Polar ice is growing. Storm intensity is in decline. One reason may be that solar activity is at the lowest level in almost a Century. link link link See what the sun looks like with and without sunspots link View today’s photo of the sun and note the continued lack of sunspots link In the past periods with fewer sunspots and lower solar activity were ones with cooler temperatures. It is believed by some scientists that lower solar activity increases cloud formation and this has a cooling effect. If the past is a predictor of the future, these changes in solar activity will cause a 30 year period of cooling temperatures on earth and in fact it appears that this has already begun. See solar activity charts here link
See the combined impact of ocean and solar cycles on global temperatures link
Europe, North America and many other areas of the Earth have recently experienced a score of unusually low temperatures. So where is the global warming that we are preparing for?
Is a carbon cap and trade system that would raise hundreds of billions of dollars each year for the government necessary if in fact the slightly warmer temperatures of 1978-1998 were caused by natural forces such as the Sun’s increased activity in that period, and that many scientists are now becoming skeptical of the theory of man made global warming (AGW)? link It appears to me that this is looking more and more like the Y2K scare of the late 1990s.
If you have doubts about the conventional beliefs of global warming and want to learn more please do read on.
*the use of information on this website is unrestricted and can be reproduced without permission.
To see my presentation in a PDF file with this link
See Geoff Pohanka presentation “Are we at the tipping point?”. link
p.s. If you want to see most of the concepts below about global warming in a single film, then watch this documentary (film)
Climate thought starters
*For most of the past 10,000 years the earth was warmer than todays temperatures. link
*2000 years of global temperature data, note the current global warming starting in the mid 1700s, well before man started producing much CO2 link
*The warmest year ever recorded in the USA was 1934, link. The coldest, in the mid 1970s, a period when some scientists and most of the press said the earth was heading toward global cooling if not a return of glaciation. link link link link
Warmest years in the USA from 1900 to today according to NASA link 1934 1998 1921 1906 1931 1999 1953 1990 1938 1939
*five of the ten warmest years since 1900 were before 1940!
*the warmest decade was the 1930s link
*US temperatures have only risen .2 degrees F from 1940!
*see how often state’s have set temperature records since 1884 link
*24 of the 50 US States had their highest ever recorded temperature in the 1930s link
*Using just the US rural temperature data (not including temperature sensors near urban areas due to the urban heat island affect), today’s US rural temperatures are cooler than those of the 1930’s. (David Archibald) link
*Global temperatures declined from 1945 through 1979, yet his was a period of rapid industrial expansion and increasing CO2 production throughout the world. If CO2 and temperatures are linked, why did temperatures fall? link
*year of continental record high temperatures:
South America 1905
North America 1913
Antartica 1974 link
*Global temperatures have declined in five of the last seven decades even though CO2 levels increased throughout this same period.
According to the 351 year temperature record for central England (CET) as maintained by the UK Met Office, England Summer temperatures in the 20th Century were cooler than those of the 18th Century link
*a survey of US weather stations shows that 80% of them are poorly maintained and located and have a warming bias of several degrees due to land use changes. link
*global temperatures mysteriously jumped when nearly 50% of all global weather stations (many in rural areas) stopped recording climate in the early 1990s. link
*the 20th Century temperature increase was .6 degrees. In 2007, world temperatures declined .7 degrees according to the 4 most respected sources of temperature tracking, HadCRUTT. RSS. UAH, GISS This is the fastest cooling ever recorded. The 20th Centuries global warming of .6 degrees was reversed in a single year.
*global temperatures have been cooling since 2002 link
*earths temperatures are not constant. There were 23 periods of cooling and warming in the past 500 years with the average cycle being 27 years long. There were two cooling and warming periods in the past 100 years alone. 1880-1915 was a period of cooling 1915-1945 was a period of warming 1945-1977 was a period of cooling 1977-1998 was a period of warming 1998-the present, it has been cooling, all related to changes in solar activity and the Pacific El Nino and La Nina cycles link
Global temperatures today are among the coolest in the last 500 million years link
*The yearly average number of sunspots per year from 1991 through 2007 were 1,361, (according to the S.I.D.C.). Through September of 2008, we are one pace for only 56 sunspots for the entire year. Where is the global warming?
*After the Medieval Period the world cooled 4 degrees centigrade, causing the “Little Ice Age“. This was a period of glacial advance from the mid 1400’s to mid 1800’s. Then the world began to warm once again. Many of the glaciers that are now retreating were ones that grew during this “Little Ice Age”.
*The fastest global temperature change ever recorded was from 1696 to 1732. Temperatures declined 2.2 degrees centigrade, which is 4 times the rate of temperature change and three times the speed of the .6 degree change in temperature of the hundred years of the 20th Century.
*while it is true that there has been some warming in the northern hemisphere in the last part of the 20th Century the southern hemisphere has shown no increase and has actually been cooling. link
*There has been some global warming in the second half of the 20th century but the temperature peaked in 1998 and it has been cooling since. Four of the five most active solar cycles since the 1600’s were in this same period of warming. Active solar cycles historically have caused warming temperatures.
*The winter of 2007-2008 had the most snow cover in North America, Asia, and Siberia in over 60 years.
*China had its worst winter in over 50 years in the winter of 2007-2008 link
*Many areas of the world experienced a harsh winter in 2007-2008. Quite a few had record low temperatures and it snowed in Baghdad the first time in a century (link), and Saudia Arabia experienced the coldest temperatures in 20 years (link)
*CO2 is a trace gas. It is less than 4/100ths of one percent of gases in the atmosphere. link
*of the 186 billion tons of CO2 that enters into the atmosphere yearly only 3.2% is from human activity, the rest is from the oceans, volcanoes, and decaying plant matter. link
*there was 15 times more CO2 in the atmosphere than today during the Ordovician-Sulurian glaciation, 5 times more during the Cretaceous-Jurassic glaciation, and more also during the Permain glaciation. link
*CO2 levels closely follow temperature link
*CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere have been as much as 25 times what they are today. Current CO2 concentrations are among the lowest in the past billion years. link
*CO2 is a trace gas, it is less than 4/100’s of 1% of all gases in the atmosphere. Of the 186 billion tons of CO2 that enters the earth’s atmosphere every year only 6 billion tons are from human activity, the rest is from natural causes (decaying vegatation, volcanic activity, and the oceans). Man only contributes 3% of CO2 in the atmosphere. If CO2 truly caused global warming like they say it does there would have been a catastrophe long ago. link
*Antarctica’s represents 90% of the world’s ice and 70% of its fresh water. Antarctica’s sea ice volume was the largest ever recorded in 2008.
*Antarctic sea ice extent in 2008 exceeded 1979 in ten of eleven months. Average ice extent was over 17% larger than in 1979. Sea ice thickness was also larger. link
*In October and early November 2008 the Arctic sea ice grew at the fastest rate ever recorded (43,804 square miles per day) link
*Arctic Sea ice is increasing at a record rate in 2008, early 2009 link
*While it is true there has been generally less Summer Arctic Sea Ice in the past two decades this loss has been entirely offset by the growth of ice in the Antarctic. When you combine both poles, there has been no net reduction in global ice! link link
*The volume of Antarctic ice in 2008 was averaging one million square kilometers more than normal. Summer ice melt was 40% below the average. link
*The 2008 Summer Arctic ice melt was 9% less than the record of 2007. 1,700,000 square miles of Arctic ice did not melt this year. link
*There is evidence that the Artic sea ice completely melted at least four times before man first walked the earth. Tropical turtle fossils have been found in the Arctic, proving this area was once much warmer than today. link
*On Oct 15, 2008 Arctic sea ice had grown 29% larger than in the previous year. link
*Arctic sea ice was 220,000 square miles larger in Nov ’08 than Nov ’07link
*recent studies have shown that winds have a larger impact on polar ice formation than does temperature. Changes in winds and sea currents at both poles have caused an increase in ice formation, even though there has not been significant temperature variation in this period. link
*The number of hurricanes per year that hit the US 1901-1950 were 1.94, and only 1.41 from 1951-2001, 28% less. The 1901-1950 hurricanes were also more powerful on average. But property damage from coastal storms has increased due to over development, higher population density, and falling land levels such as at Galveston TX, where land has sunk over 4 feet due to settling and fossil fuel extraction. (Patrick Michael) Where is the global warming?
What drives the climate?
The Sun is not a constant star, it has cycles that average about eleven years in length. Solar activity is constantly changing. Sunspots are used to measure solar activity since the early 1600s, they have been observed and counted for hundreds of years. Cooling periods on earth have occurred when there were fewer sunspots. Similarly, the earth has warmed (such as the second half of the 20th Century) when there were more sunspots.
The sunspot average from 1900 to 1949 was 576 annually, and from 1950-1999 it was 876, an increase of 52%.
With the current solar cycle the sun has become less active once again with fewer sunspots, suggesting that the long period of warming has come to an end and a period of cooling is beginning (based on a long historic correlation between solar activity and global temperatures).
Solar magnetic activity, as measured by the AP index, in December 2009 was at the lowest level since recording began in 1932.
Climate Skeptic, Warren Meyer
Is there scientific consensus in support of man made global warming?
Recent Important Articles
The Important role played by clouds the global warming debate
CO2 can only raise temperatures by 1.2C. Above that it must trigger positive feedback but is this theory plausible?
400,000 years of Vostok ice core samples show that CO2 did not cause temperatures to change in the past
Can the Antarctic and Greenland ice shelves collapse?
Is global warming really all that bad?
Proof of the Medieval Warm period and why the warming was global
Roman Period was warmer than today
Why Micheal Mann’s famous hockey stick was discredited
Are the NASA GISS global temperature records correct?
Al Gore to benefit financially from CO2 controls.
Problems with Al Gore’s”Inconvenient Truth”
Air pollution in the United States has been reduced substantially since 1980
Polar ice, is it melting? links:
Is Greenland’s ice melting?
Glaciers can melt due to other reasons than global warming
Polar Bear population is growing and is at or near an all time record size, up to 5 times more bears than the 1950s. Links:
Polar Bears are powerful swimmers
What is Carbon Cap and Trade?
Are climate forecasting models accurate?
Does changing solar activity impact cloud formation and thus temperature?
Solar activity is driven by the Sun’s internal magnetic field
What is the relationship between historical rises in temperature and CO2?
California brush fires and global warming
How temperatures are collected impacts the data. The decline in rural stations and temperature averaging makes it seem that temperatures are increasing when they are not
Land based temperature sensors encroached by urbanization, give false data about temperature increases.
Are the globe’s forests in decline?
Can wind and solar power replace conventional energy systems? link
The effect on developing nations with control of CO2
Will CO2 cause the the oceans to become acidic? Will coral reefs be impacted by higher CO2 levels?
How long does CO2 stay in the atmosphere?
Ocean temperature and climate
Will the oceans rise 20 feet in the 21st Century like Al Gore says it will?
Are the Pacific Islands threatened by sea rise from global warming?
Letter of the Viscount Monckton of Breshley to John McCain, why the global warming theory is false link
Why isn’t the upper atmosphere warming? Links
Is the warming on Venus due to CO2 high concentrations?
If the CO2 warming theory is correct, what is so unnatural and why do we need to change society to deal with it
Will taxes rise with cap and trade legislation? link
Results of UK climategate investagatgion
The impact of CO2. Links:
Changing atmospheric concentrations of CO2 have always followed temperature changes, and not visa-versa. More CO2 is stored in the oceans in cooling periods and more is released to the atmosphere in warming periods
Are global deaths due to storms increasing?
Facts about alternative Energy sources
Global Warming in perspective. Links:
Other climate resource links:
The politics of Climate Change. Misc links:
Sharp Americans are starting to understand H.L. Mencken’s observation that “The urge to save humanity is always a false front for the urge to rule it.”